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When will we see the first VR blockbuster movie? by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 2 points 3 months ago
VR is not so easy to make movies for. Plus, VR by its very nature requires one human per hmd. So the method of distribution is not as clear cut as a motion picture cinema. I mean the distribution is fine, in fact it is probably easier than ever. What is difficult is that you have to be in a VR hmd to watch the movie. Mass consumption of a motion picture will not come quickly.
But give things a couple of years. Really, that's it--maybe about 5 years, when VR hmds are more like glasses (and they're gonna be) The FOV will be to your peripheral vision, the resolution will look like, well, real life depending on things like "meta-lenses" and "light-field" technology.
I'm an early adopter of VR. On my Oculus Rift is a VR experience that is not a movie per se, but a demonstration of the commitment of Hollywood to develop for VR. The app is called "Within" and the short is called "Take Flight". It is star studded. It is also one of the truly fully 3D VR features out there. A lot of VR real life imagery is 360 degree immersive, but 2D flat like an Omni theater around you sort of. This short though? Wow! I highly recommend it.
But this short is analogous to a motion picture made in say, 1895 by the 'Lumière brothers'. Film makers don't really understand the method of the medium just yet. We have not even arrived at a Georges Méliès moment yet. But as the decades go by, it's going to get pretty crazy with new forms of genre that simply don't exist today. Many movies will probably center directly on the observer in some kind of way. The trick is to get you look where the director wants you to look. "Take Flight" does that by putting the action in a full orbit around you. The effect is pretty keen, but probably primitive by standards of say 20 years from now. Of course since this is futurology, things may be way different in 20 years too. All that "accelerating change" you know.
I just got me delivered an 'Oculus Go' yesterday from Amazon. I watched a very good resolution "Take Flight" 100% tether free.
It's like... magick.
I have some very distinct thoughts about VR if you like.
https://www.reddit.com/Futurology/comments/7r42h0/vr_is_going_to_be_like_nothing_the_world_has_eve
Further...
https://www.reddit.com/useizumi3682/comments/8cy6o5/izumi3682_and_the_world_of_tomorrow/
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How Important is it for Self-Driving Cars to be Electric? by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 2 points 3 months ago
Interestingly automobiles were developed to be electric as early as 1884. Thomas Edison tried his darndest to popularize the electric car. Even early models of electric cars were nearly silent with a gentle hum, they did not have to be cranked and they did not vibrate and stink of fumes. But it was simply too early in rechargable battery history for the electric car to take. Also they just could not drive as fast as an ICE. By 1913 with the advent of the electric starter (no more hand cranking) and an absolute plentitude of petroleum--cheap gas and collaborating automotive manufacturers put an end to the electric car almost in it's entirety as a dedicated consumer product until pretty much the 1980s.
Now of course our electric cars have prodigious battery storage capacity (range), can drive just as fast if not faster than any ICE and one can be charged in roughly the time it takes to pump gas in a regular ICE.
I don't see a downside to this. Certainly it would help to abate human caused global warming. And to argue that they are too quiet and can't be heard approaching is one of the stupider arguments in human history. To me that is like saying; " Where are we going to get all our transplantable organs from without healthy people tragically (but usefully) dying in human caused MVAs once these SDVs take over?"
Plus I want that futuristic "hum" in my level 5 autonomy subscription SDV.
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Delivering VR in Perfect Focus With Nanostructure Meta-lenses by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 2 points 3 months ago
This is my quote from the other day. I knew this was coming.
Then we have VAR. It is ultimate primitive today. But already powerful new technologies are developing that will take VAR, but particularly VR and will make it a technological phenomenon such as the world has never seen. The most recent was that weird "metalens" that I just learned about the other day. And everyone else did too. It was big news in this sub-reddit. But my point is that technology is ideally suited to advance our VR in ways that we cannot today even comprehend.
https://www.reddit.com/useizumi3682/comments/8cy6o5/izumi3682_and_the_world_of_tomorrow/
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Tesla making model 3 battery packs in 17 minutes down from 7 hours by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 1,329 points 3 months ago
Interesting takeaway about "over-automating" things.
“One example would be, we have these fiberglass mats on top of the battery pack. They’re basically fluff. We tried to automate the placement and bonding of fluff to the top of the battery pack, which was ridiculous. ‘Flufferbot,’ which was really an incredibly difficult machine to make work. Machines are not good at picking up pieces of fluff. Hands are way better at doing that.
Me: "Not for much longer I bet."
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Future sailors: what will ships look like in 30 years? by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] -3 points 3 months ago
Watch out for the return of the sailing ship.
I don't care if ships start getting sails again, as long as I have awesome VR and can live forever.
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The Army Is Working on Brain Hacks to Help Soldiers Deal With Information Overload by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 4 points 3 months ago
Important takeaway:
Separately from the Army's Cognition and Neuroergonomics Collaborative Technology Alliance and DARPA's Squad X, the military has been working on an “implantable neural interface” that could allow soldiers and AIs to directly communicate.
That's right, a brain modem, one that translates data into electronic impulses that are compatible with a human being's own thoughts.
https://www.reddit.com/useizumi3682/comments/8cy6o5/izumi3682_and_the_world_of_tomorrow/
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Biology will be the next great computing platform, DNA will be the code that runs it, and CRISPR will be the programming language. by mvea in Futurology


[–]izumi3682 5 points 3 months ago
I always think something like that too. But then I think about what exactly our goals are.
Consider the bird and the horse. Humans have always wanted to fly like the bird. Through science and technology we managed to fly like the bird. But our manmade "birds" today can move at nearly seven times the speed of sound. I am not even including spacecraft. For most of recorded human history we used the horse to travel about and carry things. Now our manmade emulations of the horse are the multitude of methods of artificial automotive transportation to include the train and the plane, the car and the truck. These clever emulations courtesy of the industrial revolution took the example of the bird and the horse and changed them beyond anything we could recognize and improved them, by our standards, absolutely astronomically. And darned if the narrow AI is not going to soon be running all of these devices in another exponential technological improvement. Watch as in the next few years you see the advent of the level 5 autonomy human passenger carrying flying drone!
Just imagine what our emulations of the human mind are going to be like.
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The Oculus Go is a VR headset for grannies, and that’s a good thing by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 2 points 3 months ago
Wow! Some people downvoted the dickens out of me I don't know why. But I agree with you that games are but the tip of the iceberg when it come to VR. Read what I have to say and see what you think.
https://www.reddit.com/Futurology/comments/6h7xtt/gamers_arent_buying_the_vr_hype_and_game_makers/diw60gy/
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The Oculus Go is a VR headset for grannies, and that’s a good thing by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] -3 points 3 months ago
I talk about VR a lot. Here is some of my commentary if you like.
https://www.reddit.com/useizumi3682/comments/8cy6o5/izumi3682_and_the_world_of_tomorrow/
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Pilot study validates artificial intelligence to help predict school violence by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 2 points 3 months ago
Important takeaway:
The researchers found that machine learning - the science of getting computers to learn over time without human intervention - is as accurate as a team of child and adolescent psychiatrists, including a forensic psychiatrist, in determining risk for school violence.
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Artificial intelligence vs intelligence augmentation by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 1 point 3 months ago
Well now, this is kinda what we should be angling towards. A manner of easily accessing the narrow AI with our minds. This is not so much a tomorrow or next year technology though. I would say it is going to take between 20-30 years to realize. That seems kind of long from today, but in the scheme of human recorded history of the last 6,000 years, it is as brief a time as the life of a mayfly. And the reason I say 6,000 years is because on the other side of that is a mostly (hopefully) 'human friendly' technological singularity.
A human of today, 2018, would no more be able to comprehend a derived human after that TS, than an australopithecus could comprehend a homo sapiens sapien's abstract thought, language based speech and tool-making abilities.
I see evidence of efforts today that we are striving to work towards that kind of TS. The development of the BMI and even that neat little trick of a device that can attach to your head externally and can "understand" your sub-vocalizations and have a assistant bot chat back to you through an earphone, demonstrates that not too long from now, we will have the sum total of all human knowledge within each human mind as naturally accessible as breathing. But a lot more understanding of how thoughts and neurons and neural networks and interfaces work needs to be done. Like I said 20-30 years.
But of course so many other factors are going to come into play in that intervening time, that this technology will seem very logical to everyone. And it is absolutely going to be necessary. I read not too long ago that in the last 2 years we have produced more information than the last 6,000 years up to 2 years ago, combined. See? That is why we call it "big data". (Yes, I understand a significant percentage of that is screamingly funny cat videos--but that doesn't detract from the point I'm trying to make.)
To be able to proceed as a sentient outer space or inner space (I have a "theory" about that) civilization we are going to have to be able to gainfully access and use that data. And we are also going to have be able to continuously absorb further data as well. As of today I have no idea how we are going to do this. I always fall back on my argument that if the laws of physics as we understood them in the year 1400, today 2018 or will in 3018, allow such a thing, we will at some point accomplish it.
And there is one more point that I must emphasize here in relation to all of this discussion. The term is "accelerating change".
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Accelerating_change
It is definitely a very real, demonstrable phenomenon. Our computer processing speed and capacity, "Moore's Law" be damned, is exponentially improving. All of the full sum of data we have today, plus our processing power is going to double in less than 5 years at a maximum. Sit for a second and take that in. And I am being wycked conservative here. I am not even taking the potentially transcending impact of fully functional quantum computers into account. The so-called impending "quantum supremacy". That in itself may change the rules of the game in ways we already can't imagine.
This processing speed, data capacity and our feverish development of AI, put humanity into a sort of race now. Will the AI stay external from the human mind? Or will we meld with it? Staying external worries me. External AGI and a potential EI could mean the end of our run. To my way of thinking the AI must merge with the human mind. I really don't think there is a choice. But like I said before, the resulting humans would be... well, not business as usual. A first step towards abandoning biology I suspect.
Further...
https://www.reddit.com/useizumi3682/comments/8cy6o5/izumi3682_and_the_world_of_tomorrow/
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Watch physicist Roger Melko talk about the rapid advance of machine learning and the possibility of human-level artificial intelligence in this Perimeter Institute lecture. by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 1 point 3 months ago
One of the things that equally tickles me and worries me is how we think the AI will "stop" exponentially improving upon reaching "human" level intelligence.
Have you ever been to an airshow where an F-15 whooshes by you about 100 feet above the ground?
Like that.
https://www.reddit.com/useizumi3682/comments/8cy6o5/izumi3682_and_the_world_of_tomorrow/
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The force by which a small magnet pulls a needle from the ground is more than the force by which the entire earth pulls the needle toward itself. by sigma_alpha in Showerthoughts


[–]izumi3682 4 points 3 months ago
Oh I can take that one further. The Earth with everything on it is gravitationally attracted to you.
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Technology is finally going to kill car dealers, and consumers win by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 21 points 3 months ago
So many institutions and norms in the last say, fifty years have been absolutely essential or at worst essential necessary evils. I am telling you that in as little as ten years, the world is going to change almost incomprehensibly.
The industrial revolution took roughly 200 years to fully unfold. This next revolution which I place as beginning in the year 2012 when GPU narrow AI began to really take hold, will take about 20 years to unfold.
We are approaching a knife edge of danger before we even have to worry about "AI overlords". The narrow AI, robotics and automation are going to, if not eliminate most employ, are certainly going to eliminate enough employ that we will hit a critical mass of societal unease. The potential of revolt and upheaval is high.
I can only speak for the USA here, but the USA government is well aware of what is coming and is frankly concerned. Here is an official report from about 18 months ago. I read this and I can see why there is concern.
First, here is the report dated Dec 2016.
https://obamawhitehouse.archives.gov/sites/whitehouse.gov/files/documents/Artificial-Intelligence-Automation-Economy.PDF
To make a long story short, the USA government recognizes what is coming in terms of AI, robotics and automation. The hope is that workers can be "retrained" or can accommodate to the AI, robotics and automation within a given profession. Ideas such as UBI and "post-scarcity are dismissed out of hand.
Here is the link to a comment I made a while back explaining the difference between an industrial revolution that took 200 years to unfold versus an AI revolution that is going to take about 20 years to unfold.
https://www.reddit.com/Futurology/comments/740gb6/5_myths_about_artificial_intelligence_ai_you_must/
Further...
https://www.reddit.com/useizumi3682/comments/8cy6o5/izumi3682_and_the_world_of_tomorrow/
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As AI advances rapidly, More Human Than Human says, “Stop, let’s think about this” by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 1 point 3 months ago
No, it is just a self post. You don't see my text?
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Apple Leaks Reveal VR Headset That Makes HTC Vive Look Ancient by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 1 point 3 months ago
Oh! Sorry miss knickers--I was addressing mr faded there. He challenged me on my predictions and the timing of them.
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Bitcoin is the greatest scam in history by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 1 point 3 months ago
Nah, I don't even pay attention to things like that. My knowledge of such things is far too limited. But I am still pretty excited about the future of course!
https://www.reddit.com/useizumi3682/comments/8cy6o5/izumi3682_and_the_world_of_tomorrow/
(Oh! I just realized you are all about Bitcoin. Well, you are one of the fewer smarter people. It's all good.)
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Bitcoin is the greatest scam in history by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] -2 points 3 months ago
I have always thought so. It took us 6,000 years to develop "fiat" in regular money. "Bitcoin" and it's ilk are just a few smarter humans taking advantage of the far larger cohort of less smart humans. In a sort of backhanded compliment, I see this as a good comment on the eternal brilliant cleverness of the human intellect. We will figure out AGI in no time I bet.
I'll just wait for "post-scarcity" my ownself. I been working 39 years. I can hang for 8 more til I retire. Or the AGI takes over. Or something.
(AGI doesn't exist as of 1 May 2018 BTW)
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VR Needs More Social: 77% of Virtual Reality Users Want More Social Engagement by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 2 points 3 months ago
Whoa--whoa! Give them a bit of time to get things right. VR as a consumer product has been available for 2 years. In the last one year, two highly advanced social VR sites came into being. Both are directly derived from "Second Life" btw. I just wanted to throw that in because I have been happily hanging out in SL for over ten years now. Anyway, the two sites are "High Fidelity" and "Sansar". I have been to HF numerous times. For as limited as VR is yet, this is a pretty darn well realized VR social arena.
Here is more detail if you are interested. I also talk quite a bit about Google EarthVR which is something else you might find truly amazing when it comes to VR.
https://www.reddit.com/Futurology/comments/6h7xtt/gamers_arent_buying_the_vr_hype_and_game_makers/diw60gy/
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Apple Leaks Reveal VR Headset That Makes HTC Vive Look Ancient by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] -2 points 3 months ago
Yes but decades ago is not today. Things is different now. The last 8 years is the difference.
Also what is "magical"? Are you implying I am employing "magical thinking"?
https://www.reddit.com/Futurology/comments/8g8dk3/as_ai_advances_rapidly_more_human_than_human_says/dy9kvg0/?context=0
https://www.reddit.com/Futurology/comments/4k8q2b/is_the_singularity_a_religious_doctrine_23_apr_16/d3d0g44/
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Artificial intelligence is silly by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 4 points 3 months ago
The author of this article is thinking too limitedly. He is thinking like a human in the year 2018. He is trying to juxtapose what our world up to now is and has been, with what the future is going to bring. That is like trying to envision the year 1970 from the year 1920. Lots of airplanes, zeppelins and skyscrapers and searchlights, because searchlights were considered to be absolutely amazing technology in the year 1920.
What is coming in the next 5-30 years is going to be beyond anything that humans in the year 2018 can properly envision. That is partly because our minds in their current biological configuration, absent AI enhancement, simply cannot conceive of what the changes are going to be like.
https://www.reddit.com/useizumi3682/comments/8cy6o5/izumi3682_and_the_world_of_tomorrow/
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Apple Leaks Reveal VR Headset That Makes HTC Vive Look Ancient by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] -1 points 3 months ago
See? I told you.
https://www.reddit.com/Futurology/comments/7r42h0/vr_is_going_to_be_like_nothing_the_world_has_eve
Further...
https://www.reddit.com/useizumi3682/comments/8cy6o5/izumi3682_and_the_world_of_tomorrow/
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As AI advances rapidly, More Human Than Human says, “Stop, let’s think about this” by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 4 points 3 months ago
Too late. The cat's out of the bag. Not only can we not stop or even slow the advance of our AI development, but it is clearly now in a point of acceleration wherein the rate of acceleration itself is accelerating. Our science, technology, even economies are inextricably dependent on the ever increasing speed of (narrow, for now) AI development.
This may seem alarming to you, but draw back to a universal overview, one far removed from the planet Earth and you will see this is a likely natural and normal "evolution" of the universe itself.
https://www.reddit.com/Futurology/comments/6zu9yo/in_the_age_of_ai_we_shouldnt_measure_success/dmy1qed/
Further...
https://www.reddit.com/useizumi3682/comments/8cy6o5/izumi3682_and_the_world_of_tomorrow/
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Progress on designing multi-generation interstellar asteroid ship (Me: BIG logical thinking error here) by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 1 point 3 months ago
In this case, the thriving community of space explorers who — unlike computers, AIs and robotics — need to LIVE. To eat, exercise, work, have fun, sleep, get sick, get well, get old, die and make new people in turn. Many of the ‘’people maintenance’’ functions we can imagine are really pretty easy to turn over to AI powered robotics.
Me: People on interstellar "asteroid ships"--"They're just like US!"
I don't think we are going to go on asteroid ships to the stars. In fact ultimately I don't think we are going to the stars at all. To me this concept smacks of the ancient Romans envisioning an olive tree one thousand feet high that can provide olive oil to the entire empire.
I think the future will go more like this...
https://www.reddit.com/useizumi3682/comments/8cy6o5/izumi3682_and_the_world_of_tomorrow/
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This Presidential Hopeful Wants to Save America From an A.I. Takeover by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 2 points 3 months ago
Thank you! To me the important thing is getting this information out there. A perfect analogy for homo sapiens sapiens and our humanity today is the massive intricately tunneled ant mound, with all of its wars and problems and achievements and minutiae of their everyday lives lived in utter chemical pheromone tunnel vision. They have no idea or even concept of the massive earth mover about to fully end all they know.
This link here is a bit of a rabbit hole, but I have learned the very hard way that my old commentary eventually vanishes into distance and I can no longer access it. Years and years of commentary now gone to me. So I have begun to consolidate and save in large link chunks what I can, when I think something is relevant. Here is a link that leads to one of those rabbit holes if you like. You will find many links to videos and sources.
https://www.reddit.com/useizumi3682/comments/8cy6o5/izumi3682_and_the_world_of_tomorrow/
submitted by izumi3682 to u/izumi3682 [link] [comments]

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One World Religion Pastor Adeboye Admits?

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